Of course I have quite a bit of confidence in computer models as far as weather is concerned. From personal experience I know that they did have it horribly wrong with Ivan though.
So when is this tropical storm Leslie going to go NorthWest as predicted, it looks awfully close to the Eastern Caribbean island chain as I write this (3pm 1st September)
Hopefully these pictures will autorefresh and prove the scientists and computers right!
All the best, Maria