Wednesday, August 01, 2012

Ernesto first storm for the Grenadines?

Hello everyone,

And it is official!!! Ernesto is here.
At this moment there is a high chance, 70% that a low pressure area in the Atlantic will become a tropical storm within the next 48 hours and that it will be very close to us. As of this writing the system is at 12N 48W, and the forward track is slightly WNW.
2 of the reliable computer models have it tracking directly over Bequia. The system will be named Ernesto if further strengthening into a tropical storm.
The government has issued a press release, part of it here (it is a holiday today)
"The St. Vincent and the Grenadines Meteorological Office will continue to monitor the development of this system and will be issuing further statements on its progress over the next few days."

Interesting tidbit: in 2006 tropical storm/hurricane Ernesto was named just a few miles west of Mayreau, it became the most costly tropical storm/hurricane of that year, estimated $500 million in damage and 11 deaths.
See track from Wikipedia archives to the left.
Lets hope history does not repeat itself.

Be careful everybody, these computers are good but they don't know everything, this is still the weather!

I include a link here that gives you the current situation, we are after all in 2012:

All the best, Maria

PS. Whoops, at 17.00 1st August, minutes after I wrote the above, it is now Tropical depression number 5 located at 12.2N 49W. At this moment we are under a tropical storm watch.

1 comment:

  1. Anonymous3:49 PM

    nice update, Maria Thanks


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