Thursday, July 23, 2020

Gonzalo St, Vincent and the Grenadines

Tropical storm Gonzalo is approaching the island chain

Question is: where will it pass through the island chain? The model I have found to be most reliable has it passing very near to Bequia.
However, at the moment the only input for this model seems to be satellite imagery and surface analysis, none of the Atlantic buoys have transmitted any data recently. This might be lack of maintenance due to the corona virus lockdowns.
Gonzalo is a very small system,which makes it hard to predict the future track. The stronger it gets, the more Northerly the track can be.

This is the official press release:

The government of Barbados has issued a Hurricane Watch for St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 9.8 North, longitude 47.9 West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h).

A general westward motion at a faster forward speed is expected today followed by a turn toward the west-northwest on Saturday.

On the forecast track, the center of Gonzalo would approach the Windward Islands late Friday and Saturday. Maximum sustained are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts.

Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Gonzalo could become a hurricane later today. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


Covid-19 second wave in St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Importing new cases

Right after American Airlines resumed flights to St. Vincent and the Grenadines, as well as airports in other islands reopening their borders, there have bee new imported cases of Covid 19.
It was preferred that passengers had themselves tested and only flew if they tested negative, but not everybody adhered to that recommendation. Hence there were a total of 21 positive cases determined after testing in St. Vincent. 6 of these have now recovered, must be the climate, bringing the total active cases to 15.
It is now mandatory for persons wishing to travel from the USA to St. Vincent that they are tested negative for Covid 19 72 hours or less prior to their flight.

Sunday, May 03, 2020

Current Covid 19 status in St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Covid 19 in St. Vincent and the Grenadines: stage 2


Update 3rd May: A 17th person has tested positive, and one person confirmed recovered, bringing the total number of active cases to 8. Number 17 is part of the same cluster.
Update 29th April: A 16th person has tested positive, this one too is closely associated with the last cluster. Contact tracing has been done I suppose, the number of persons in quarantine has increased to 100.

Very quiet front street Port Elizabeth
Update 26th April
A 15th person has been tested positive, this one too is closely associated with case 13 and 14 who got it from an imported case.
 3 more persons have recovered as confirmed by 2 negative tests, bringing the total number of active cases to 7.
Update 23rd April
A 14th case has been confirmed, this one "closely associated" with case 13. At least 5 other persons are  closely associated with this last case, extensive contact tracing is being done to determine if there is now community spreading of the virus.
Several tests have been done for medical clearance of patients, two more are recovered. The  total recovered is now 5, active cases 9.
Update April 21st
This last person that tested positive has no recent travel history. The ministry of health now calls this a local transmission, meaning the person has been in direct contact with a patient with a travel history. As per the CDC: This is the stage of local transmission - when people who have brought the virus into the country transmit it to people they come in contact with, usually friends and family. At this stage, it is easy to trace spread and quarantine people.
This is different from community spread, where none of the infected patients have been in contact with an infected person that has a travel history. That would be stage 3.
April 21st
Today one more person has tested positive for the novel corona virus bringing the total of cases to 13. 2 of the active cases have been tested twice, result negative, and hence received medical clearance.
This brings the total active cases to 10.
It is unclear if this new positive is caused by local transmission or concerns a person who has travelled.

Saturday, April 18, 2020

The Corona virus in Bequia

The Corona virus in Bequia

18th April LIAT will continue to suspend all passenger services till the 15th of May.
 At the moment there are still 12 cases, of which 1 has recovered. Of the other 11 6 are now being tested to see if they recovered.
 Bequia Express will resume the regular schedule starting this Monday.
17th April Some of the persons infected with the virus are being tested now to see if they have recovered. A lot of people have completed their quarantine, so far there are no new cases and the total is still 12, of which 1 recovered.
10th April Of the 30 samples sent off, 4 tested positive.  They have now been placed in isolation. Quarantine had been extended by a week for 32 persons, they were supposed to have ended their quarantine on the 8th of April. They all worked on the same cruise ship of which 4 persons tested positive previously. The prime minister had persuaded CARPHA, the Caribbean testing agency, to test these persons even though they were asymptomatic.
8th April 30 samples have been sent off for testing. Equipment for 3000 rapid tests is being sent by Venezuela. The public health Act has been amended, breaking quarantine now can carry a fine of $2000.
7th April A next batch of 4 tests just came back and one of them was positive, bringing the total number of cases to 8, of which one recovered. This last one is also a Vincentian national arriving from abroad.
On the Bequia case: there are several versions, one is that the person is in isolation in his home and has tested positive for the virus, the other version is that he arrived from New York and is in strict quarantine in his home.

Time for a new post, the Covid 19 virus has possibly reached Bequia, people say, but it may very well be that the persons concerned are strictly adhering to the mandatory quarantine.

4th April I just heard, word of mouth so  could be a rumour, a man from Paget farm, Bequia, has tested positive for the corona virus. He has been in voluntary quarantine after arriving from the USA. Details to follow if true.
The Admiral ferry is currently not running, and Bequia Express has a limited schedule for passenger travel.

Thursday, March 19, 2020

The Corona virus near Bequia

Corona continued

3rd April continued: 4 more persons have tested positive for the corona virus bringing the total to 7 cases, of which 1 recovered. The 4 newly tested cases are all imported from the USA and Canada on  the 25th of March, same like patient 2. They are Vincentian nationals.
3rd April: A third case has been confirmed, a male person flying in from Barbados on March 18th. He was in voluntary quarantine and developed symptoms on the 29th.
The government is limping behind the facts, masks for healthcare workers have been ordered, carnival has been canceled and there is a limit of 9 passengers for minivans. Better would be to order a limited lockdown with only essential businesses open such as supermarkets and pharmacies, and see how many patients there are in 2 weeks time. That way it will be easier to deal with the inevitable spread of the disease, and much easier to do contact tracing from patient 2. At this moment people from Owia are still trying to board minivans and often being refused.
An intelligent lockdown of 2 weeks now would at least buy some time for ordering medical supplies, get a larger isolation facility, and get the test equipment ready for local testing.
2nd April: And so it begins, the2nd case patient is a woman who arrived from New York on the 25th of March. She is a Vincentian national. She had to quarantine for 14 days. She stayed for 2 days in Kingstown , to clear some barrels through customs. Then she boarded a minivan on the 27th and traveled the length of the island to Owia where she has a house. All the while wearing  a mask and coughing. She then proceeded to greet and hug people in the village and in  the evening had a little gathering at her house. The next day concerned villagers alerted a nurse who alerted a medical team and the police. She is now in isolation.
All this obviously means that the passengers on the plane need to be checked, hopefully they are complying with the quarantine. The village of Owia, the customs officers and agent, the minivan passengers, restaurants, hardware stores and shops she visited both in Kingstown and Owia all may be infected, really a worst case sccenario. It is a bit late now to be closing the international borders, but I think it is a good idea to stop passenger travel on the ferries and planes between the islands for now. And let yachts stay where they are.
1st April: A second case of Covid-19 was confirmed today. The patient is a Vincentian national who returned from New York on the 25th of March. She was supposed to be in quarantine, and reported symptoms on the 28th of March. Guess it took a little longer than the 4 hours turnaround time the government reported previously for the test result to be returned.
Contact tracing is being done, and hopefully more details to follow.
Quiet anchorage Bequia
30th March:
-Grenada and St. Lucia have made the curfew rules a lot stricter, as people did not adhere to the previous measures to contain the spread of the corona virus.
-In Bequia it is quiet, people keep their distance, Knights trading keeps the number of people in the shop down and sprays customers hands at the entrance, great initiative.
28th March:
-Mustique and Chateaubelair were already closed before the closing of the other ports of entry in the grenadines yesterday. Clearance has to be done in Wallilabou, Kingstown or Blue Lagoon, all on mainland St. Vincent. The quarantine rules will be enforced, quarantine is not optional. Here are the countries for which there is a mandatory quarantine, as per the government website:
All travellers from the following countries will be quarantined for 14 days: 1. China 2. Iran 3. South Korea 4. United States of America including the USVI and Puerto Rico 5. United Kingdom 6. European Union including Italy and the Overseas Departments of France (Guadeloupe, Martinique, St. Martin, French Guiana) 7. Canada. The general public is reminded that the requirement for quarantine is not optional. Individuals meeting the quarantine requirement must remain in their homes/accommodation at all times for the 14 day quarantine period
27th March:
-The ports of entry for yachts Bequia, Canouan and Union Island are now closed. Clearance can be done in Kingstown Wallilabou and Blue Lagoon. And the quarantine rules need to be followed.
Full story here: Clearance ports closed
- A Cuban medical team has arrived in St. Vincent
- It is reported on social media that several crewmembers returning to their homes in Bequia from cruise ship jobs are not keeping themselves to the rule of the mandatory self quarantine.
-The number of Covid 19 cases in Barbados has risen to 26, Barbados now moves to stage 3 of the pandemic and a curfew will be implemented. At least 10 cases are caused by community transmission.
-Our borders and ports of entry are still open with several flights a day from Barbados.
26th March: Grenada today announced 6 new cases, all connected to "patient zero". 5 of the new cases are members of her household, 1 was near her in the airplane flying to Grenada. This means that further community transmission of Covid 19 is a distinct possibility.
Meanwhile, yachts currently in Grenada in theory could still check out if they are fed up with the state of emergency and the associated limited going ashore. They could then check in here without having to undergo the selfquarantine. I never thought I would say this, but please, yachtspersons, tourists, and locals returning from abroad, don't put the population of St. Vincent and the Grenadines at risk. Medical resources here are very limited, and most people don't have the means to seek treatment abroad.
Update: He did not announce a border closure. Guess the government is waiting for enough cases to have community transmission and move to stage 3 of the epidemic scenario. I wonder why.  A stimulus package of 74.5 million has been announced, this will come from several financial institutions.
Meanwhile, Grenada (1 confirmed case, same as St. Vincent) has announced a limited state of emergency, and the airport is closed to passenger flights.
25th March:
-The prime minister will address the nation tonight. Lets hope he is going to announce the closing of the airports. After all, apart from China, every Covid-19 outbreak has started with imported cases. Closing the borders seems like a no brainer! 
24th March: 
-The first person to be tested positive for Covid-19 ends her isolation today. She will undergo 2 more tests within a 48 hour period to determine if she is virus free.
-The quarantine for visitors from the USA, UK and Europe is now mandatory.
-The leader of the opposition calls for closure of the borders to visitors. A good idea since both Barbados and Martinique already have community spreading of the disease. Liat still has several flights daily to and from Barbados, and it is still possible for yachts arriving from anywhere to check into St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
-One person has been transported in an isolation unit from a private clinic  to the Kingstown flu clinic to be tested for the virus.
23rd March: 
-The Eastern Caribbean Central Bank has approved a grant of EC$ 500,000 to each of its member states to combat the corona virus.
-The postal corporation has suspended its services for regional and international mail.
-According to a newspaper a court order was granted to place a person in mandatory quarantine. I think this means that a person did not comply with the request to voluntarily  self quarantine.
-The 1 person with confirmed infection will end her isolation tomorrow, will she be quarantined after that? Who knows. Maybe the grant of 500k could be put to some use to inform the public.
22nd March: 
-Dominica is now closed for newly arriving yachts, after reporting its first imported case. Martinique has stopped passenger flights from France. Grenada just reported its first case (imported as well) and will close the airport to commercial flights carrying passengers. Seems we are the only one open for now.
-Barbados now has 14 cases+several on a cruise ship anchored offshore, up drastically from 2 last Friday. The majority of these cases is community transmitted, not imported. The airport is still open, but most carriers have drastically reduced flights and most countries advise against traveling abroad.
21st March:
-The government has decided that air and seaports in St. Vincent and the Grenadines will remain open. This in stark contrast to our direct neighbors St.Lucia and Grenada. St, Lucia's seaports are currently closed for recreational visitors, Grenada is still open with only Port Louis in St. George's as an official port of entry. Crews that have been in Europe or the USA within the previous 14 days entering Grenada have to self quarantine for 14 days. Some crew chose to ignore this, which resulted in a new rule: no yacht crews are allowed ashore in Carriacou!
There are still flights to Martinique from Europe, for some bareboat companies it is still business as usual, guess what their destination of choice will be, even if they had to self quarantine there is no way to enforce that in a multi island nation. These captains will be checking in in Bequia's revenue office, the immigration and customs officers will be in very close proximity and so it begins. 
19th March:
2020 Bequia Easter Regatta has been canceled.
St. Lucia and Trinidad have closed all ports to recreational visitors. Including cruise ships. Grenada has only two ports where yachts can check in, crews will be screened for symptoms of disease. There is no entry for persons from Europe and the USA, China, Japan, South Korea.
St. Vincent and the Grenadines has no additional restrictions in place,but 75% of cruise ships have canceled their trips.
Air Canada will suspend flights to St. Vincent for at least one month starting March 30th.

Sunday, March 08, 2020

The Corona virus and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Updates on the Corona virus as it nears Bequia

16th March: Martinique has stopped reporting how individual cases got the virus, and now reports total cases 15, dead 1.
The government of St. Vincent and the Grenadines has announced several more measures to control the spread of the virus and alleviate symptoms of sick persons:
 -The purchase of the drug Interferon, which simply said is an immune system suppressant rather than immune system strengthener. Most people that die of the virus die because their immune system goes into overdrive and produces too much fluid in the lungs, crudely said they drown in their own mucus.
The drug has been successfully used in China. More about it here: cytokine storm
 -A Hotline will be introduced to report suspected cases and get information: 534 4325.
 -Several ports of entry will be suspended.
 -The opposition calls for schools to be closed as an additional measure to the ones announced by the government.
14th March: The total number of infected persons in Martinique now stands at 9, of which 4 are on cruise ships anchored in the bay of Fort de France. St. Lucia has 1, a woman that flew in from Grenada.
Cruise ships are canceling the majority of sailings, an early end to the cruise ship season in the Caribbean.
So far there are no new entry restrictions in place in St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada has added France, Germany and Spain to the previously mentioned countries.
In other measures against a virus outbreak here in St.. Vincent and the Grenadines: vegetable production will be intensified, an isolation center near Argyle will soon be completed and the government is considering reducing the VAT on soaps and sanitizers. Cuba is sending doctors and nurses to assist.

11th March:

The first case of COVID 19 corona virus has been confirmed in St. Vincent. The patient is a woman who recently (7th March) returned from a visit to the UK. She reported symptoms on March 10th and has been voluntarily isolated at home.

10th March: A third person has tested positive for the virus in Martinique. She probably got it during a visit to France in February, where she was in contact with a person that was in contact with a confirmed case. She returned to Martinique the 1st of March and did not have any symptoms then.

8th March 2020. The closest the corona virus has come to Bequia so far is Martinique, where 2 Swiss persons attending a seminar  have tested positive.
Persons arriving in St. Vincent and the Grenadines from China, Italy, Singapore, Makau, Hong Kong and South Korea will be quarantined for 14 days.
So far 17 people have completed the quarantine and 3 remain in quarantine.
At the moment testing for the virus is being done through the Caribbean Public Health Agency in Trinidad and Tobago, but the government of SVG will invest $100,000 USD to procure equipment for testing in Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Port restrictions are not yet in place as of the time of this writing.

Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Corona spreading to the Caribbean through cruiseships?

Can or will the Corona virus come to Bequia?

Update 1st March: The plane from Milan has landed in Martinique without passengers from Italy. It went to Martinique to pick up the Italian passengers that were disembarking from the cruiseship laa Preziosa in Martinique. That same ship that had Italian passengers is still scheduled to visit Kingstown this Friday...
26th February: With the coronavirus is now spreading rapidly around the world, is it time for the government to start putting port restrictions in place?
As of this writing South/Central America has been unaffected by the corona virus apart form an unconfirmed case in Brazil. There is however an increasing threat of the virus entering the Eastern Caribbean and thus Bequia.
On Saturday the 29th of February a plane from Milan  filled with passengers from Northern Italy will land in Martinique. The passengers will be boarding a ship from the MSC cruise line, which will visit all the Windward islands South of Martinque, including Kingstown.
The MSC Preziosa has been coming to the port of Kingstown weekly this season, with many of the passengers taking day excursions to Bequia with the Wind and Sea catamaran.
Next scheduled call to the port of Kingstown is the 6th of March with those passengers from Italy that were on that flight from Milan.
In Martinique there are calls for demonstrations at the airport on Saturday and at the Health agency ARS this evening.
The ARS responded that there is no reason to prohibit the flight to land in Martinique, they will distribute flyers instructing passengers what to do in case of symptoms, and masks.....
The Cayman Islands and Jamaica have already refused entry to a different ship from this same MSC cruise line, the Meraviglia.
An interactive map of current port restrictions and closures updated 3 times a day can be found here:

Map with Port restrictions


Click on any circle to see current measures in place.